Management Discussion and Analysis 5

RISKS EXPOSURE AND MITIGATION

The Group operates within the plantation industry that is generally exposed to the following embedded risks that may have a material effect on the Group’s operations, performance, financial conditions and liquidity:

a)

Volatility in palm oil commodity prices as well as foreign currency exchange rate;

b)

Fluctuation in production of FFB due to seasonal cyclical as well as weather factors such as El Nino phenomenon;

c)

Demand in palm oil products that may be adversely affected by supply of alternative oils and fats worldwide;

d)

Policies of major importing and exporting countries;

e)

Shortage in skilled labour in plantation sector; and

f)

Increase in operation cost partly caused by upward trend of minimum wages as well as increased recruitment cost for foreign workers.
There have been no significant changes in the abovementioned risks since the previous financial year. Having said that, challenges pertaining to recruiting sufficient local and/or foreign workers continue to persist and are some of the key industry-wide issues.
With the progression of COVID-19 pandemic into an endemic, the Management continues to be vigilant of the potential adverse impact the virus may pose on its operations. Due care will be exercised in dealing with any development relating to COVID-19 to mitigate and, where possible, avoid disruption in the Group’s business whilst safeguarding the well-being of employees and affected stakeholders.
The Management constantly monitors the movements in palm oil commodity prices and may take necessary steps to mitigate unfavourable movements in commodity prices to reduce impacts on the Group’s financial performance. To achieve this, the Group may use derivatives such as Futures and Swap contracts to hedge against potential cash flow risks faced by the Group arising from volatile commodity prices.
While the plantation is still a labour-intensive industry, the Group has made every effort to manage its operations with limited labour force, and where possible, to invest in mechanization and automation in its plantations as well as palm oil milling operations to reduce dependency on labour.
The Group observes industry best practices in managing its plantation and milling operations such as adhering to requirements under MSPO certification scheme, manuring programmes recommended by Agronomists, and strict control to minimize oil loss, so as to achieve optimal operational efficiency in terms of both production quantity and quality.

DEVELOPMENT AND PROSPECTS

Plantation operations:

In order to achieve a long-term sustainable production and palm age profile, the Group will resume major replanting activity from the second half of 2023 onwards with a projected replanting program of 1,000 hectares per year.
To support our plantation operations in Sarawak, the Group will continue with its efforts to secure a milling licence and set up a palm oil mill in Sarawak.
For the financial year ending 31 January 2024, the Management forecasts the FFB production to be about 15% higher than that achieved in FY2023 on account of more replanted areas coming into maturity and better age profile of young palms productive areas.
The Management is of the view that the Group’s plantation operations will continue to benefit significantly if the average CPO price stays above the RM4,000 per MT level for the financial year 2024.

Milling operations:

The Management targets to achieve a total processing throughput of 1.5 million MT of FFB for the financial year 2024. In addition, the Management targets to maintain its milling oil extraction efficiency in the financial year 2024 considering wet weather conditions in February to March 2023 have negatively impacted on oil quality and extraction rate.
As the biogas plant at Keningau has commenced supply of power to SESB’s grid since December 2022, the plant could start contributing positively in terms of revenue and profit in the financial year 2024 after obtaining certification of plant efficiency by SEDA.
As for the FiT project at our Telupid mill which has been approved for a net export capacity of 1.5 MW, we expect this biogas plant to commence operations in the second half of the financial year 2024.
As the palm oil prices are still volatile in general, the Management expects the milling operations to perform satisfactorily on the grounds of good production efficiency as well as competitive pricing for sourcing FFB supply. In general, palm oil milling business is less sensitive to volatility of palm oil prices as compared to a plantation.

General:

The plantation industry outlook remains challenging given the price volatilities, labour shortages, inflationary pressures on cost, persisting weather extremities, and biofuel policy changes in Indonesia, amongst other developing issues, on a backdrop of an oncoming global economic downturn.
Given the above, the Management will continue to be vigilant in monitoring the development of all the key risks facing the Group and will endeavor to mitigate any adverse impact on its operations and deliver a satisfactory performance for the financial year 2024.

MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION
AND ANALYSIS